Sports gambling can be quite profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a excellent example. We analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. Louisville match, and concluded of which West Las vegas had the edge in the game. Nonetheless My partner and i also came to the realization that there was a whole lot of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not gamble on this specific game. Here is our analysis I released before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This video game possesses all the symptoms of being one of the best games involving the year, together with the two teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, along with Rest of the world Virginia coming again from becoming down big in the independence day fraction to winning in overtime.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
If this game were as played in the natural field, West Las vegas would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since often the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia can be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they lost to Va Tech. Inside the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.
All these are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor of WVU with regard to tonight’s games. Plus, this added in bonus is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This could not appear like quite a bit, but in a close match-up this way, that extra point might make the difference between a good push in addition to a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her past 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS within their final 10 home activities.
In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since January 20, 2003! During this present run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for every game in your own home, while hitting only leaving behind 15. six points each game on home. In ufabet168s.com/%E0%B8%97%E0%B8%B2%E0%B8%87%E0%B9%80%E0%B8%82%E0%B9%89%E0%B8%B2ufabet don’t do the figures, that means since their own last home damage they also have averaged beating their very own opposing team simply by about thirty four factors per game.
What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten typically the pass on, on average, by 13 details per sport at home considering that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s how…
Almost all of those stats were being accumulated during the june 2006 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to great than great. They have already experienced recent games through which they also have only scored twenty-eight, twenty-three, 24 points. And these video games weren’t against Kansas Street. or Michigan. They were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The end result is the fact that this is still some sort of close video game to call up. Nonetheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s not any reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to middle of the 20’s. My honest endorsement is usually to lay off that game and definitely not gamble at all. There happen to be better video games this quick with more simple rewards.
The final score of the game was Louisville forty four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border was not so big that they can could very well still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular video game, people significant concerning gambling saved money they can put to better employ on forthcoming games.